Economists Say Fed Still Holds Keys to US Recession in 2024

Most economists would be best advised to stay clear of Las Vegas after their wayward bets on last year’s recession. According to a survey from the Financial Times, 85 percent of economists polled predicted a recession in 2023. Back at it in 2024, 76 percent are now leaning toward a recession, according to a December survey from the National Association of Business Economics, with 40 percent saying it will start in Q1 and another 24 percent betting on Q2. Many point to job layoffs, a potential end to buoyant stock market runs, a lack of regional bank liquidity, and commercial office space vacancies playing a role in these…