In the context of forex trading, swap points, also known as rollover or overnight interest, refer to the interest rate differential between the two currencies in a currency pair. These points represent the cost or gain associated with holding a position overnight. Forex trading involves borrowing one currency to buy another, and swap points help compensate traders for the interest rate differential between the two currencies.
Let's break down the concept with an example:
Suppose you are trading the EUR/USD currency pair, where the base currency is the euro (EUR) and the quote currency is the U.S. dollar (USD). Let's say the European Central Bank (ECB) has a higher interest rate than the U.S. Federal Reserve.
If you go long on EUR/USD, meaning you buy euros and sell dollars, you are essentially borrowing dollars to buy euros. Since the ECB has a higher interest rate, you would earn interest on the euros you bought. Conversely, you would have to pay interest on the borrowed dollars.
The swap points, in this case, would reflect the net interest rate differential between the euro and the dollar. If the interest earned on the euro is higher than the interest paid on the dollar, you would receive a positive swap (earnings). Conversely, if the interest paid on the dollar is higher than the interest earned on the euro, you would incur a negative swap (cost).
For instance, let's say the interest rate on the euro is 2%, and the interest rate on the dollar is 1%. The interest rate differential is 1%. If you're holding a position overnight with a notional value of 100,000 euros, the positive swap might be calculated as follows:
In this example, you would earn 1000 positive swap points for holding a long position overnight. However, it's crucial to note that swap rates can vary and may be affected by factors such as central bank policies, economic indicators, and market conditions. Traders should be aware of these factors when considering overnight positions.